Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Pulpileno vs E.G. El Palmar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Hernandez R.

AI Match Summary

CA Pulpileno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
CA Pulpileno
30%
Draws
8%
E.G. El Palmar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • E.G. El Palmar haven't matched CA Pulpileno's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CA Pulpileno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CA Pulpileno have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Pulpileno E.G. El Palmar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.93 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs CA Pulpileno
0:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs E.G. El Palmar
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs E.G. El Palmar
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs CA Pulpileno
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs E.G. El Palmar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.69

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Pulpileno 95 / 100
E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Pulpileno E.G. El Palmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Pulpileno scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: E.G. El Palmar conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CA Pulpileno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: E.G. El Palmar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Pulpileno VS E.G. El Palmar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.86
38% Over 1.5 57%
0% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Pulpileno

(Home)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
Page 1 of 6

E.G. El Palmar

(Away)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)