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CA Pulpileno vs Racing Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cristo
(Penalty)
77' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between CA Pulpileno and Racing Murcia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CA Pulpileno
20%
Draws
0%
Racing Murcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Pulpileno come out ahead of Racing Murcia on wins alone.
  • Model gives CA Pulpileno a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Pulpileno Racing Murcia
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Racing Murcia
1:1
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs CA Pulpileno
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Racing Murcia
3:0
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs CA Pulpileno
2:1
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Racing Murcia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Pulpileno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Pulpileno 95 / 100
Racing Murcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Pulpileno Racing Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Racing Murcia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

CA Pulpileno found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (40 games).

Racing Murcia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CA Pulpileno VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Pulpileno

(Home)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
Page 1 of 8

Racing Murcia

(Away)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)