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CA Pulpileno vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
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Match Events

89' Event
Perez F.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between CA Pulpileno and Santa Cruz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CA Pulpileno
35%
Draws
28%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CA Pulpileno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on CA Pulpileno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Pulpileno Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs CA Pulpileno
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Pulpileno 50 / 100
Santa Cruz 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Pulpileno Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Pulpileno scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: CA Pulpileno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CA Pulpileno VS Santa Cruz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Pulpileno

(Home)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)