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CA Vila Rica vs Santos PA

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 game between CA Vila Rica and Santos PA finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CA Vila Rica
33%
Draws
40%
Santos PA
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santos PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos PA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Santos PA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 14%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Vila Rica Santos PA
Matches Played 8 21
Wins 0 5
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 0.4 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica vs Santos PA
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Paraense A3
Santos PA vs CA Vila Rica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Vila Rica 27 / 100
Santos PA 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Vila Rica Santos PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santos PA conceded in 76% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CA Vila Rica's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Recent resilience: CA Vila Rica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Vila Rica VS Santos PA
0.4 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Vila Rica

(Home)
18 Oct
Venus
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
15 Oct
CA Vila Rica
1 : 1
Santos PA
04 Oct
CA Vila Rica
0 : 3
Venus
01 Oct
Santos PA
2 : 0
CA Vila Rica
05 Oct
ESMAC
1 : 1
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 2

Santos PA

(Away)
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belenense43016:39
2Paraense SC42027:66
3Pedreira41036:103
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos PA42206:28
2Venus42117:37
3CA Vila Rica40131:91
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Belem440013:412
2Tesla42028:76
3Tiradentes PA40043:130
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paraense44008:112
2Gaviao41123:54
3Altamira40132:71
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)