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CA Vila Rica vs Venus

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venus in this Paraense A3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
CA Vila Rica
20%
Draws
70%
Venus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Venus have won more games recently than CA Vila Rica.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Venus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 12%
Venus Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Vila Rica Venus
Matches Played 12 13
Wins 0 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.42 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Paraense A3
Venus vs CA Vila Rica
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica vs Venus
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Vila Rica 10 / 100
Venus 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Vila Rica Venus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venus has conceded goals in 69% of their last 13 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CA Vila Rica found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (12 games).

CA Vila Rica went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Vila Rica VS Venus
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Vila Rica

(Home)
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
18 Oct
Venus
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 3

Venus

(Away)
19 Sept
Pedreira
1 : 2
Venus
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
04 Nov
Belenense
3 : 1
Venus
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)