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Cabecense vs Ayamonte

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ceballos J.
60' Event
Manu Debe

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cabecense
30%
Draws
47%
Ayamonte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayamonte average 0.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Cabecense's 0.7.
  • Win probability leans Ayamonte's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 13%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabecense Ayamonte
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.7 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Ayamonte
1:1
Dec 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Cabecense
1:2
Mar 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Ayamonte
2:0
Oct 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Cabecense
1:5
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Cabecense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabecense Compare

Top Goalscorer Manu Debe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ayamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceballos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabecense 10 / 100
Ayamonte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabecense Ayamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ayamonte conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Cabecense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Cabecense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabecense VS Ayamonte
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabecense

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
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Ayamonte

(Away)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)