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Cabecense vs Lebrijana

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 game between Cabecense and Lebrijana finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cabecense
20%
Draws
16%
Lebrijana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cabecense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cabecense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 18%
Lebrijana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabecense Lebrijana
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.82 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2021 Club Friendly
Cabecense vs Lebrijana
3:0
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Lebrijana
2:2
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Cabecense
2:1
Aug 1, 2019 Club Friendly
Cabecense vs Lebrijana
1:1
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Cabecense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabecense 31 / 100
Lebrijana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabecense Lebrijana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabecense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebrijana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lebrijana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Cabecense scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabecense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabecense

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
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Lebrijana

(Away)
02 Sept
Cabecense
3 : 0
Lebrijana
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Castilleja CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4
Coria C.F.
23 May
La Palma CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez Deportivo FC 18 11 4 3 26:11 37
2 Xerez CD 18 10 5 3 23:11 35
3 AD Ceuta 18 7 8 3 26:17 29
4 Los Barrios 18 7 3 8 18:17 24
5 CD Rota 18 6 4 8 15:21 22
6 Antoniano 18 4 9 5 15:20 21
7 Conil 18 3 11 4 19:18 20
8 Cabecense 18 4 7 7 15:23 19
9 Arcos CF 18 4 5 9 10:19 17
10 Lebrijana 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Roque de Lepe 20 14 3 3 30:18 45
2 Ciudad de Lucena 20 12 4 4 35:16 40
3 Puente Genil 20 9 6 5 28:24 33
4 Cordoba B 20 8 6 6 31:25 30
5 CD Utrera 20 9 3 8 26:26 30
6 Pozoblanco 20 7 6 7 22:23 27
7 Sevilla C 20 7 5 8 17:20 26
8 Inter Sevilla 20 5 7 8 17:25 22
9 Castilleja CF 20 6 3 11 25:27 21
10 Coria C.F. 20 3 6 11 14:28 15
11 La Palma CF 20 2 7 11 14:27 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)