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Cabecense vs Mairena

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
Cabecense Logo

Cabecense

1 - 2
FT
Mairena Logo

Mairena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 game between Cabecense and Mairena finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mairena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cabecense
15%
Draws
59%
Mairena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mairena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mairena a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 18%
Mairena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabecense Mairena
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.66 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cabecense
0:0
Nov 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Mairena
0:2
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Mairena
1:2
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cabecense
0:2
Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cabecense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabecense 10 / 100
Mairena 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabecense Mairena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mairena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cabecense scored in 47% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Cabecense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabecense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabecense

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
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Mairena

(Away)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)