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Cabecense vs Montilla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
Cabecense Logo

Cabecense

3 - 2
FT
Montilla Logo

Montilla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 game between Cabecense and Montilla finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabecense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cabecense
15%
Draws
36%
Montilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cabecense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cabecense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cabecense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 16%
Montilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabecense Montilla
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Montilla
3:2
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Montilla vs Cabecense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabecense 41 / 100
Montilla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabecense Montilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cabecense scored in 60% of their last 43 games.

Away concern: Montilla has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cabecense VS Montilla
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabecense

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
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Montilla

(Away)
31 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 0
Montilla
19 Oct
Montilla
0 : 1
Rincon
19 May
Algeciras
4 : 0
Montilla
12 May
Montilla
3 : 1
Conil
05 May
Mairena
2 : 0
Montilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)