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Cabense vs Ipojuca

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cabense
35%
Draws
32%
Ipojuca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ipojuca lately — more wins on the board than Cabense.
  • Model gives Cabense a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cabense Clean Sheet 20%
Ipojuca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabense Ipojuca
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Ipojuca vs Cabense
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Ipojuca vs Cabense
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Cabense vs Ipojuca
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Ipojuca
1:3
Oct 12, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Ipojuca vs Cabense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabense 40 / 100
Ipojuca 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabense Ipojuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cabense scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Ipojuca conceded in 61% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cabense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cabense VS Ipojuca
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabense

(Home)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
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Ipojuca

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
12 Oct
Ipojuca
2 : 4
America PE
04 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 0
Ipojuca
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)