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Cabense vs Ipojuca

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cabense
35%
Draws
32%
Ipojuca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ipojuca lately — more wins on the board than Cabense.
  • Model gives Cabense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cabense Clean Sheet 20%
Ipojuca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabense Ipojuca
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Ipojuca vs Cabense
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Ipojuca vs Cabense
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Cabense vs Ipojuca
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Ipojuca
1:3
Oct 12, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Ipojuca vs Cabense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabense 40 / 100
Ipojuca 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabense Ipojuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cabense scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Cabense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ipojuca conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cabense VS Ipojuca
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabense

(Home)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
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Ipojuca

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
12 Oct
Ipojuca
2 : 4
America PE
04 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 0
Ipojuca
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)