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Cabofriense U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Alberto
57' Event
Marlon
64' Event
Cleiton

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cabofriense U20
35%
Draws
26%
Nova Iguacu U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cabofriense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nova Iguacu U20 come out ahead of Cabofriense U20 on wins alone.
  • Nova Iguacu U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Nova Iguacu U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cabofriense U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cabofriense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense U20 Nova Iguacu U20
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 2 6
Draws 1 8
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Cabofriense U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cleiton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.85

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense U20 18 / 100
Nova Iguacu U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense U20 Nova Iguacu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Iguacu U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Iguacu U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Cabofriense U20's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cabofriense U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense U20 VS Nova Iguacu U20
1.4 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense U20

(Home)
04 Apr
Cabofriense U20
4 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
28 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
7 : 0
Cabofriense U20
25 Mar
Cabofriense U20
2 : 1
Sampaio Correa U20
21 Mar
America RJ U20
3 : 1
Cabofriense U20
18 Mar
Cabofriense U20
0 : 3
Marica U20
Page 1 of 2

Nova Iguacu U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
05 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)