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Cabofriense vs America RJ

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Caio Cunha
24' Event
Cleyton
60' Event
Cleyton

AI Match Summary

America RJ in this Copa Rio 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cabofriense
35%
Draws
46%
America RJ
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America RJ lately — more wins on the board than Cabofriense.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on America RJ taking it.
  • America RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor America RJ, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 21%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense America RJ
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Cabofriense
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Rio
America RJ vs Cabofriense
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs America RJ
0:3
May 17, 2025 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Cabofriense
1:1
May 26, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs America RJ
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

America RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleyton
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Cunha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 29 / 100
America RJ 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense America RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: America RJ conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Cabofriense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS America RJ
0.71 Goals Scored 0.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
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America RJ

(Away)
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Cabofriense 2
Boavista 1
America RJ 2
Audax RJ 0
Goncalense 0
Marica 3
Duque de Caxias 1
Madureira 2
Campo Grande 0
Bangu 3
Resende 2
Portuguesa RJ 3
Quarter-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Nova Iguacu 2
Cabofriense 2
America RJ 5
Marica 6
Madureira 1
Bangu 0
Portuguesa RJ 1
Semi-finals
CEAC/Araruama 0
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Portuguesa RJ 3
Final
America RJ 1
Portuguesa RJ 2