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Cabofriense vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Pepeu
48' Event
Wendson
90' Event
Lekinho

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Cabofriense and Americano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cabofriense
30%
Draws
54%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Americano come out ahead of Cabofriense on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Americano taking it.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 14%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Americano
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Americano
1:2
May 31, 2025 Carioca 2
Americano vs Cabofriense
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Carioca 2
Americano vs Cabofriense
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Americano
2:1
May 7, 2022 Carioca 2
Americano vs Cabofriense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepeu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lekinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 15 / 100
Americano 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Americano let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cabofriense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Americano
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)