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Cabofriense vs Serrano FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gradici A.
39' Event
Abner
(Penalty)
77' Event
Kauan

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cabofriense
35%
Draws
52%
Serrano FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Serrano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Serrano FC have won more games recently than Cabofriense.
  • Model gives Serrano FC a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 22%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Serrano FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Serrano FC
2:2
Jul 31, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Serrano FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gradici A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 29 / 100
Serrano FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Serrano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cabofriense scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Serrano FC conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cabofriense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Serrano FC
0.71 Goals Scored 0.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
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Serrano FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)