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Caboolture vs Broadbeach Utd.

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caboolture play Broadbeach Utd. in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Caboolture averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Broadbeach Utd. averaged 2.45 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Caboolture won 1, Broadbeach Utd. won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Caboolture and 2.19 for Broadbeach Utd.. This points to a Broadbeach Utd. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Caboolture
20%
Draws
50%
Broadbeach Utd.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Caboolture picked up more points recently compared to Broadbeach Utd..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Broadbeach Utd.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.83 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:3
Jun 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Broadbeach Utd.
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Caboolture
3:2
Jun 16, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Caboolture
0:3
Mar 17, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Docherty E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 29 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Broadbeach Utd.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Broadbeach Utd. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caboolture attacking → ← attacking Broadbeach Utd.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Broadbeach Utd. let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Caboolture went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Broadbeach Utd. lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 65
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507