Sport Picks
Caboolture vs Broadbeach Utd.
Australia
Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay 
Match Events
5'
5'
Fogarty D.
35'
35'
Docherty E.
53'
53'
Holden M.
AI Match Summary
Broadbeach Utd. in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Broadbeach Utd..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Broadbeach Utd. have won more games recently than Caboolture.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 12%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caboolture | Broadbeach Utd. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Caboolture
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:3
Jun 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Broadbeach Utd.
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Caboolture
3:2
Jun 16, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Caboolture
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caboolture Compare
Top Goalscorer Docherty E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Holden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Broadbeach Utd. Compare
Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mitchell E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caboolture 29 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caboolture Broadbeach Utd.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caboolture Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caboolture found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Broadbeach Utd. conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Broadbeach Utd.'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Caboolture VS Broadbeach Utd.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Caboolture
(Home) 15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1 Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2 Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2 Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0 Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2 Holland Park Hawks
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
19 Jun
Caboolture
1 : 2 Brisbane Strikers
06 Jun
Caboolture
1 : 2 Ipswich
Page 1 of 4
Broadbeach Utd.
(Away) 29 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0 Broadbeach Utd.
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0 Ipswich
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1 Broadbeach Utd.
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0 Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
2 : 1 Broadbeach Utd.
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0 Broadbeach Utd.
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1 Broadbeach Utd.
18 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
2 : 1 Broadbeach Utd.
04 Jul
Robina City
0 : 0 Broadbeach Utd.
20 Jun
North Star
1 : 3 Broadbeach Utd.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 52:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach Utd. | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 51:20 | 52 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46:28 | 37 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 5 | Robina City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 45:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Redlands | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:38 | 30 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40:48 | 30 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:41 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:41 | 21 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 13:52 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21:57 | 11 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)
