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Caboolture vs Capalaba FC

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Holden M.
74' Event
Phillips K.
87' Event
Lopez O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Caboolture in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caboolture.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Caboolture
6%
Draws
4%
Capalaba FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caboolture

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Caboolture have won more games recently than Capalaba FC.
  • Caboolture are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Caboolture have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 20%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Capalaba FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 2 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Capalaba FC
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Caboolture
1:3
Jul 4, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Capalaba FC
4:1
Jun 28, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Caboolture
1:2
Jul 21, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Caboolture
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Holden M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 85 / 100
Capalaba FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Capalaba FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Capalaba FC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Capalaba FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caboolture VS Capalaba FC
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518