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Caboolture vs Mitchelton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2023 Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay
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AI Match Summary

Mitchelton in this Queensland Premier League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mitchelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Caboolture
20%
Draws
51%
Mitchelton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mitchelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Caboolture have won more games recently than Mitchelton.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Caboolture taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Caboolture have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 15%
Mitchelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Mitchelton
Matches Played 40 32
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Caboolture
2:3
Mar 2, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Mitchelton
3:1
Sep 3, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Mitchelton
2:4
May 13, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Mitchelton
4:0
Jun 19, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Caboolture
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 66 / 100
Mitchelton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Mitchelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caboolture Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caboolture scored in 85% of their last 40 outings.

Mitchelton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caboolture stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caboolture VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caboolture

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
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Mitchelton

(Away)
18 Aug
Mitchelton
5 : 3
Logan Lightning
10 Aug
Southside Eagles
4 : 1
Mitchelton
02 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U21
0 : 3
Mitchelton
21 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 0
Ipswich
13 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0
Mitchelton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Surfers Paradise Apollo 22 16 4 2 63:23 52
2 Wynnum Wolves 22 14 6 2 46:23 48
3 Logan Lightning 22 12 7 3 39:31 43
4 Brisbane Strikers 22 10 4 8 43:37 34
5 Western Pride 22 9 3 10 41:43 30
6 Albany Creek 22 8 4 10 32:33 28
7 SWQ Thunder 22 7 6 9 45:37 27
8 Capalaba FC 22 6 8 8 45:44 26
9 Sunshine Coast 22 7 3 12 30:38 24
10 Southside Eagles 22 6 3 13 35:42 21
11 Caboolture 22 5 6 11 36:56 21
12 Mitchelton 22 3 4 15 23:71 13
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