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Caboolture vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Walters K.
55' Event
Kohen A.
61' Event
Harvey N.

AI Match Summary

North Star in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Caboolture
28%
Draws
22%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Caboolture

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • North Star haven't matched Caboolture's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caboolture's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 17%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture North Star
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs North Star
2:3
Oct 24, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Caboolture vs North Star
3:1
Aug 29, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Caboolture vs North Star
2:3
Mar 7, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Caboolture
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walters K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 48 / 100
North Star 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture North Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

North Star has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Difficult form: North Star registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caboolture VS North Star
2 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caboolture

(Home)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
11 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 1
Caboolture
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
27 Jun
Logan Lightning
1 : 3
Caboolture
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North Star

(Away)
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
04 Jul
North Star
1 : 2
Redlands
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
20 Jun
North Star
1 : 3
Broadbeach Utd.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1884630:2028
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC18221417:518
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)