Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caboolture vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Walters K.
55' Event
Kohen A.
61' Event
Harvey N.

AI Match Summary

North Star in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Caboolture
20%
Draws
57%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • North Star haven't matched Caboolture's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caboolture's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 20%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture North Star
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Caboolture
2:1
May 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs North Star
2:3
Oct 24, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Caboolture vs North Star
3:1
Aug 29, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Caboolture vs North Star
2:3
Mar 7, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Caboolture
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walters K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 36 / 100
North Star 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture North Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

North Star has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Caboolture has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caboolture VS North Star
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caboolture

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7

North Star

(Away)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)