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Caboolture vs Robina City

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Beagley N.
66' Event
Kohen A.
79' Event
Lopez O.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Caboolture and Robina City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caboolture.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Caboolture
6%
Draws
90%
Robina City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Robina City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caboolture come out ahead of Robina City on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Robina City taking it.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 16%
Robina City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Robina City
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs Caboolture
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Robina City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Beagley N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kohen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dearn J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 10 / 100
Robina City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Robina City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Robina City conceded in 58% of 19 recent games.

Caboolture has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caboolture VS Robina City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caboolture

(Home)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
11 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 1
Caboolture
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
27 Jun
Logan Lightning
1 : 3
Caboolture
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Robina City

(Away)
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Robina City
0 : 0
Broadbeach Utd.
27 Jun
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Robina City
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)