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Cacereno vs Arenas Getxo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Principe Felipe, Cáceres
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Zubelzu J.
22'
Arratibel B.
47'
Lopez S.

AI Match Summary

Cacereno in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cacereno
20%
Draws
10%
Arenas Getxo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cacereno lately — more wins on the board than Arenas Getxo.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Cacereno taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cacereno here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%
Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacereno Arenas Getxo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Arenas Getxo
3:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Arenas Getxo
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenas Getxo vs Cacereno
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Chit O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tellechea I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Arenas Getxo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno 95 / 100
Arenas Getxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacereno Arenas Getxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenas Getxo conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Cacereno's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cacereno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cacereno VS Arenas Getxo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacereno

(Home)
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

Arenas Getxo

(Away)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)