Sport Picks

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Cacereno vs Guadalajara

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Castano V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cacereno and Guadalajara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Cacereno
15%
Draws
20%
Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacereno come out ahead of Guadalajara on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cacereno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacereno Guadalajara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Cacereno vs Guadalajara
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Guadalajara
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara vs Cacereno
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Copa del Rey
Guadalajara vs Cacereno
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Guadalajara vs Cacereno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Castano V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Guadalajara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno 95 / 100
Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacereno Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacereno scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Guadalajara has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Cacereno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cacereno VS Guadalajara
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacereno

(Home)
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
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Guadalajara

(Away)
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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