Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cacereno vs Leonesa

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Principe Felipe, Cáceres
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Martinez Munoz I.
62'
Algobia A.
67' Event
Chit O.

AI Match Summary

Cacereno in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cacereno
30%
Draws
31%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cacereno lately — more wins on the board than Leonesa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Leonesa here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacereno Leonesa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Leonesa
1:0
Feb 7, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Leonesa
0:1
Sep 20, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Cacereno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Chit O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Leonesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno 32 / 100
Leonesa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacereno Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacereno's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Leonesa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Cacereno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cacereno VS Leonesa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacereno

(Home)
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
28 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa

(Away)
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1
Leonesa
15 Aug
Leonesa
5 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Real Union 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
4 Lugo 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Mirandes 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Pontevedra 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
7 Cacereno 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
8 Racing Club Ferrol 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Ponferradina 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
10 Deportivo Fabril 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
11 Real Aviles 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
12 Zamora 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
13 Leonesa 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
14 CD Coria 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
15 Barakaldo 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 CD Extremadura 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
17 AD Merida 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
19 Arenas Getxo 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
20 UD Ourense 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)