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Cacerense vs Campo Novo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cacerense Logo

Cacerense

3 - 2
FT
Campo Novo Logo

Campo Novo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cacerense
15%
Draws
0%
Campo Novo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Campo Novo haven't matched Cacerense's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Cacerense taking it.
  • Cacerense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cacerense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Campo Novo
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 11 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.24 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.52 3.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cacerense vs Campo Novo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 85 / 100
Campo Novo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Campo Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Novo has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Campo Novo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cacerense's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Campo Novo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense

(Home)
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
Page 1 of 6

Campo Novo

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorriso EC
4 : 1
Campo Novo
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)