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Cacerense vs Cuiaba

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Matogrossense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Tayron
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2023 game between Cacerense and Cuiaba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cacerense
15%
Draws
44%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of Cacerense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cuiaba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cuiaba have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 22%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Cuiaba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Cacerense vs Cuiaba
0:1
Mar 12, 2015 Matogrossense
Cacerense vs Cuiaba
0:2
Feb 11, 2015 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Cacerense
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 24 / 100
Cuiaba 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacerense found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Cuiaba has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Cacerense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Cuiaba
1.67 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense

(Home)
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
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Cuiaba

(Away)
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 9 9 0 0 26:4 27
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
3 Operario VG 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
4 Dom Bosco 9 4 2 3 9:10 14
5 Luverdense 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
6 Academia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
7 Mixto 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Nova Mutum EC 9 2 3 4 8:9 9
9 Cacerense 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
10 Sport Sinop 9 0 2 7 7:21 2
Promotion - Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)