Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caceres vs Operario VG

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Caceres Logo

Caceres

1 - 1
FT
Operario VG Logo

Operario VG

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Caceres
30%
Draws
31%
Operario VG
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caceres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Caceres at 1.24 per game, Operario VG at 0.84.
  • Model gives Caceres a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caceres Clean Sheet 20%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caceres Operario VG
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.24 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Caceres vs Operario VG
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caceres 58 / 100
Operario VG 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caceres Operario VG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caceres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caceres scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Operario VG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Caceres remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario VG
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caceres

(Home)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

Operario VG

(Away)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)