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Caceres vs Sport Sinop

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Sun, Jul 7, 2024
3 - 1
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caceres in this Matogrossense 2 2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Caceres
35%
Draws
40%
Sport Sinop
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport Sinop lately — more wins on the board than Caceres.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sport Sinop taking it.
  • Sport Sinop arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caceres, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caceres have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Caceres Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caceres Sport Sinop
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.24 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Caceres vs Sport Sinop
3:1
Jun 30, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Sport Sinop vs Caceres
1:0
May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Caceres vs Sport Sinop
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caceres 28 / 100
Sport Sinop 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caceres Sport Sinop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caceres scored in 76% of their last 17 outings.

Defensive concern: Sport Sinop conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Caceres stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sport Sinop
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caceres

(Home)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

Sport Sinop

(Away)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC 0
Caceres 1
Sinop FC 6
Várzea Grande EC 2
Acao 1
Sport Sinop 2
Pocone 3
Gremio Sorriso 1
Semi-finals
Caceres 3
Sinop FC 0
Sport Sinop 4
Pocone 3
Final
Caceres 3
Sport Sinop 2