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Caen II vs Le Mans II Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

CFA - Group D 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caen II in this CFA - Group D 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caen II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caen II
20%
Draws
40%
Le Mans II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Le Mans II have won more games recently than Caen II.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Caen II Clean Sheet 19%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen II Le Mans II
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Caen II vs Le Mans II
3:2
Oct 6, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Caen II
2:1
Mar 11, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Caen II vs Le Mans II
3:0
Sep 18, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Caen II
0:0
Apr 3, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Caen II vs Le Mans II
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen II 32 / 100
Le Mans II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen II Le Mans II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Caen II found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Le Mans II has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Le Mans II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caen II VS Le Mans II
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen II

(Home)
03 Jun
Vannes
5 : 0
Caen II
27 May
Caen II
0 : 0
Racing Club de France
13 May
Chambly
2 : 0
Caen II
06 May
Caen II
3 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
29 Apr
Saint-Pryve
3 : 2
Caen II
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Le Mans II

(Away)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)