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Caen vs Al Wakra

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
43' Event
Gnanduillet A.
46'
Sub
Appiah D. In: Mbaka S.
Out: Appiah D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Caen and Al Wakra finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Caen
15%
Draws
20%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Wakra have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — Caen are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Win probability leans Caen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Al Wakra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Caen vs Al Wakra
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnanduillet A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hafid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Naji M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 95 / 100
Al Wakra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Al Wakra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Caen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Al Wakra
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0
Valenciennes
31 Jul
Caen
1 : 1
Dieppe
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
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Al Wakra

(Away)
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
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