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Caen vs Al Wakra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
43' Event
Gnanduillet A.
46'
Sub
Appiah D. In: Mbaka S.
Out: Appiah D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Caen and Al Wakra finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Caen
20%
Draws
38%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wakra haven't matched Caen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Al Wakra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Caen vs Al Wakra
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnanduillet A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hafid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer Naji M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 68 / 100
Al Wakra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Al Wakra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Caen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Al Wakra
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
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Al Wakra

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
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