Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Caen host Bastia in the Ligue 3. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Bastia have shipped 1.15 goals a game lately, while Caen have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.72. Head-to-head, Caen have won 4 to Bastia's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.31, favoring Caen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caen have won more games recently than Bastia.
- Caen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Caen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caen | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Caen scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Caen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Bastia let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caen
(Home)Bastia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thionville | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | La Roche Vendee | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Rouen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Caen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 |
| 5 | Villefranche | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 6 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Versailles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Bourg Peronnas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 9 | Valenciennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Orleans | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Bastia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Paris 13 Atletico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cannes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 14 | Fleury-Merogis | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 15 | Quevilly | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 17 | Amiens SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Aubagne FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
