Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Hafid M.
Assist: Labonne R.
46'
46'
Sub
Wade P. In: Jean C.
Out: Wade P.
46'
46'
Kimboma J.
AI Match Summary
The National 2025/2026 game between Caen and Chateauroux finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Caen come out ahead of Chateauroux on wins alone.
- Model gives Caen a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caen | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.66 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Chateauroux
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Caen
2:1
Mar 20, 2021 Ligue 2
Chateauroux vs Caen
2:2
Nov 28, 2020 Ligue 2
Caen vs Chateauroux
1:1
Mar 6, 2020 Ligue 2
Chateauroux vs Caen
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caen Compare
Top Goalscorer Hafid M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Chateauroux Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouaoune I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caen 86 / 100
Chateauroux 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caen Chateauroux
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caen scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Chateauroux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Caen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Caen VS Chateauroux
2.75 Goals Scored 0.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 14%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caen
(Home) 24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2 Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0 Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1 Bastia
Page 1 of 7
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2 Rouen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0 Paris 13 Atletico
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1 Bastia
20 Aug
Caen
1 : 0 Aubagne FC
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 4
Chateauroux
(Away) 11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1 Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1 Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1 Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0 Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1 Bourges
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1 Chateauroux
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0 Chateauroux
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2 Chateauroux
30 Apr
Dijon
1 : 2 Chateauroux
17 Apr
Versailles
4 : 0 Chateauroux
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury-Merogis | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
