Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caen vs Orleans

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Luyambula S. In: Obiang J.
Out: Luyambula S.
25'
Kimboma J.
26' Event
El Khoumisti F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Caen
15%
Draws
40%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orleans lately — more wins on the board than Caen.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Caen taking it.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%
Orleans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Orleans
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Orleans
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Caen
2:1
Jul 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Orleans vs Caen
1:3
Apr 3, 2020 Ligue 2
Orleans vs Caen
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Ligue 2
Caen vs Orleans
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Botella I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Orleans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 68 / 100
Orleans 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Caen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orleans let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Orleans
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
20 Aug
Caen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
14 Aug
Thionville
4 : 3
Caen
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0
Valenciennes
31 Jul
Caen
1 : 1
Dieppe
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

Orleans

(Away)
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Orleans
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2
Orleans
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)