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Stadium Background

Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
El Khoumisti F.
(Penalty)
19'
Sub
Hafid M. In: Diakite S.
Out: Hafid M.
50'
Misiatu S.

AI Match Summary

Caen in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Caen
20%
Draws
29%
Paris 13 Atletico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caen have won more games recently than Paris 13 Atletico.
  • Caen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%
Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Paris 13 Atletico
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.71 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
2:0
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
3:4
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Caen
0:3
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
0:0
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kimboma J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paris 13 Atletico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 86 / 100
Paris 13 Atletico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Paris 13 Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caen scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Paris 13 Atletico let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Caen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Paris 13 Atletico
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
Page 1 of 7

Paris 13 Atletico

(Away)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)