Sport Picks
Caen W vs La Roche W
France
Coupe de France Women 
Match Events
3'
3'
Periot O.
16'
16'
Henry M.
26'
26'
Elasri Z.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caen W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to La Roche W lately — more wins on the board than Caen W.
- Caen W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- La Roche W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor La Roche W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- La Roche W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Caen W Clean Sheet 20%
La Roche W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caen W | La Roche W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.46 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Caen W vs La Roche W
3:2
Apr 23, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Caen W vs La Roche W
0:7
Nov 13, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
La Roche W vs Caen W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caen W Compare
Top Goalscorer Periot O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Elasri Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73
La Roche W Compare
Top Goalscorer Henry M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brieau C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caen W 85 / 100
La Roche W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caen W La Roche W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Roche W let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.
H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.
Caen W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: La Roche W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Caen W VS La Roche W
1.67 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caen W
(Home) 15 Mar
Caen W
0 : 2 Paris FC W
25 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2 Caen W
11 Jan
Caen W
3 : 2 La Roche W
28 May
Rouen W
2 : 1 Caen W
14 May
Caen W
1 : 1 Reims W
Page 1 of 5
15 Mar
Caen W
0 : 2 Paris FC W
11 Jan
Caen W
3 : 2 La Roche W
14 May
Caen W
1 : 1 Reims W
23 Apr
Caen W
0 : 7 La Roche W
26 Mar
Caen W
1 : 0 Le Mans W
Page 1 of 3
La Roche W
(Away) 11 Jan
Caen W
3 : 2 La Roche W
26 Jan
La Roche W
0 : 6 Paris FC W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1 Lorient W
06 Jan
Bordeaux W
3 : 2 La Roche W
19 Aug
La Roche W
0 : 4 Bordeaux W
Page 1 of 7
11 Jan
Caen W
3 : 2 La Roche W
06 Jan
Bordeaux W
3 : 2 La Roche W
21 May
Brest W
1 : 1 La Roche W
23 Apr
Issy W
2 : 3 La Roche W
02 Apr
Lille W
3 : 0 La Roche W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Dijon W 4
Toulouse W 1
Rennes W 0
Fleury 91 W 5
PSG W 2
Lille W 0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W 1
Montpellier W 2
Troyes W 1
Chatenoy W 3
Caen W 3
La Roche W 2
Roubaix W 1
Saint-Malo W 2
Lens W 0
Paris FC W 2
Bergerac W 0
Nantes W 9
Lorient W 1
Le Mans W 7
Albi-Marssac W 1
Grenoble W 2
Esperance Pernoise W 0
Strasbourg W 2
Thonon Evian W 0
Marseille W 1
St Etienne W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W 1
Nice W 4
Le Havre W 4
Auxerre W 1
1/8-finals
Dijon W 1
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 5
Montpellier W 0
Chatenoy W 1
Caen W 2
Saint-Malo W 0
Paris FC W 1
Nantes W 5
Le Mans W 0
Grenoble W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Marseille W 1
OL Lyonnes W 5
Nice W 1
Le Havre W 2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W 1
PSG W 2
Caen W 0
Paris FC W 2
Nantes W 0
Strasbourg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 7
Le Havre W 0
Semi-finals
PSG W 2
Paris FC W 1
Strasbourg W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Final
PSG W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4
