Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Caerau Ely in this Division 1 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caerau Ely.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aberdare Town haven't matched Caerau Ely's recent run of results.
- Caerau Ely are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Caerau Ely have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Aberdare Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Aberdare Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Caerau Ely has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Aberdare Town
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63:26 | 62 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 62:33 | 58 |
| 3 | Goytre AFC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 72:36 | 56 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 59:43 | 50 |
| 5 | Cambrian United | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:39 | 50 |
| 6 | Taffs Well | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 57:51 | 47 |
| 7 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 45:47 | 43 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 53:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Ton Pentre | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 45:52 | 40 |
| 10 | Risca United | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 48:48 | 39 |
| 11 | Penybont | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53:56 | 39 |
| 12 | Monmouth | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 56:60 | 39 |
| 13 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Aberdare Town | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 34:56 | 37 |
| 15 | Aberbargoed Buds | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 42:63 | 27 |
| 16 | Garden Village | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 27:93 | 7 |
