Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Caerau Ely host Afan Lido in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Afan Lido have shipped 1.84 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.47 and scored 2.39. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 3 to Afan Lido's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.25, favoring Caerau Ely. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Afan Lido.
- Caerau Ely are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.39 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerau Ely scored in 86% of their last 36 games.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Afan Lido let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Caerau Ely stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Afan Lido
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:25 | 2 |
