Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerau Ely vs Croesyceiliog FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Foote O.
11' Event
Foote O.
26' Event
Griffiths D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Caerau Ely and Croesyceiliog FC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caerau Ely.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Caerau Ely
15%
Draws
21%
Croesyceiliog FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Croesyceiliog FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 68%
Croesyceiliog FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerau Ely Croesyceiliog FC
Matches Played 26 14
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Caerau Ely vs Croesyceiliog FC
5:1
Oct 6, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Croesyceiliog FC vs Caerau Ely
3:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caerau Ely Compare

Top Goalscorer Foote O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Griffiths D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Croesyceiliog FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hill J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 95 / 100
Croesyceiliog FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerau Ely Croesyceiliog FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caerau Ely scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Croesyceiliog FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Caerau Ely went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS Croesyceiliog FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 5
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
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Croesyceiliog FC

(Away)
03 Jul
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Croesyceiliog FC
02 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 0
Croesyceiliog FC
08 Oct
Croesyceiliog FC
0 : 5
Briton Ferry
17 Sept
Croesyceiliog FC
2 : 1
Ynysygerwn
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
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