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Caerau Ely vs Tata Steel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Division 1 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caerau Ely in this Division 1 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caerau Ely.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Caerau Ely
15%
Draws
21%
Tata Steel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Tata Steel.
  • Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 20%
Tata Steel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerau Ely Tata Steel
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 24 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.44 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2014 Division 1
Caerau Ely vs Tata Steel
4:2
Oct 26, 2013 Division 1
Tata Steel vs Caerau Ely
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 85 / 100
Tata Steel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerau Ely Tata Steel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: Tata Steel conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Caerau Ely has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
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Tata Steel

(Away)
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1
Tata Steel
04 Oct
Tata Steel
1 : 2
Marshfield
10 May
Goytre AFC
0 : 0
Tata Steel
07 May
Tata Steel
2 : 4
AFC Porth
26 Apr
Tata Steel
2 : 1
Cwmbran Celtic
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