Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-5, with Barry Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Barry Town come out ahead of Caerleon on wins alone.
- Barry Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Barry Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Barry Town, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Caerleon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 20%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerleon | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 37 |
| Wins | 3 | 24 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 25 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.26 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2012 FA Cup
Caerleon vs Barry Town
2:5
Sep 4, 2012 Division 1
Barry Town vs Caerleon
1:3
Aug 14, 2012 Division 1
Caerleon vs Barry Town
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caerleon 10 / 100
Barry Town 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caerleon Barry Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barry Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Barry Town conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.
Caerleon scored in 55% of their last 31 games.
Solid form: Caerleon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Barry Town
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Caerleon
(Home) 19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1 Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0 Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
24 Apr
Caerleon
0 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
18 Apr
Caerleon
0 : 2 Bridgend Town
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Barry Town
(Away) 28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3 Barry Town
31 Jul
Barry Town
2 : 1 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 8
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3 Barry Town
18 Jul
Weymouth
2 : 3 Barry Town
11 Jul
Yate
0 : 1 Barry Town
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2 Barry Town
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 7
Bridgend Street 4
Pontypridd United 0
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brymbo 2
Penycae FC 1
Llanberis FC 1
Cefn Druids 7
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 5
Brecon Corinthians 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Cambrian United 1
Montgomery 5
Venture Community 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Llandudno Junction 4
Gwalchmai 4
Carno FC 1
Ruthin Town 1
Corwen 2
Grange Harlequins 4
Llanwern FC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 7
Bodedern 0
Rhydymwyn 1
Waterloo Rovers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 1
Caernarfon 0
Llanuwchllyn 3
Buckley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 5
Caerleon 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Penrhyncoch 2
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Trefores 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 3
Goytre AFC 3
Llwydcoed 0
Caerau FC 8
Llantwit Fardre 0
Ton Pentre 3
Dinas Powys 1
Bridgend Town 0
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 7
Croesyceiliog FC 3
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 6
Llandudno FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llanidloes Town 6
Halkyn United 1
Coedpoeth 1
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 4
Llanllyfni FC 0
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pwllheli 5
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llansantffraid Village 2
Holyhead 6
Monmouth 1
AFC Porth 0
Cwmamman United 1
Newbridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
West End 4
Taffs Well 0
Risca United 0
Rhayader 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Glan Conwy FC 1
Four Crosses 1
Llanrug 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/32-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
Tata Steel 1
Aberdare Town 2
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
Brymbo 1
Cefn Druids 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 0
Montgomery 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Gwalchmai 2
Corwen 1
Grange Harlequins 1
Chepstow Town 4
Rhyl 5
Waterloo Rovers 0
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 2
Buckley 1
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Ely Rangers 6
Goytre AFC 3
Caerau FC 1
Ton Pentre 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre Utd 2
Llandudno FC 3
Holywell Town FC 5
Llanidloes Town 3
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 0
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pwllheli 2
Holyhead 5
Monmouth 5
Newbridge 1
TBD -
Bala -
West End 2
Rhayader 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Llanrug 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/16-finals
Bangor City 4
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli 2
Connahs Q. 4
Newtown 2
Cefn Druids 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Llandudno Junction 2
Gwalchmai 0
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 5
Aberystwyth 2
Conwy Borough 1
TNS 3
Barry Town 3
Ely Rangers 1
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Flint Town 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Monmouth 2
Bala 3
West End 5
Llanrug 0
Afan Lido 3
Prestatyn 4
1/8-finals
Bangor City 2
Connahs Q. 0
Newtown 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 4
Chepstow Town 3
Rhyl 1
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 1
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town 3
Bala 2
West End 0
Prestatyn 2
Quarter-finals
Bangor City 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
TNS 1
Barry Town 2
Flint Town 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Prestatyn 3
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
TNS 0
Barry Town 1
Prestatyn 2
Final
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 3
