Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerleon vs Ely Rangers

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caerleon in this Division 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caerleon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
57%
Ely Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ely Rangers have won more games recently than Caerleon.
  • Model gives Ely Rangers a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ely Rangers have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 10%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Ely Rangers
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0.79 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2010 Division 1
Caerleon vs Ely Rangers
2:1
May 8, 2010 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Caerleon
2:0
Nov 4, 2006 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerleon vs Ely Rangers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 18 / 100
Ely Rangers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Ely Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ely Rangers conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Ely Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Caerleon found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Caerleon VS Ely Rangers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
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Ely Rangers

(Away)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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