Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caernarfon vs Levadia

Europe Europe

Conference League The Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Peetson R.
Assist: Ainsalu M.
20'
Skvortsov M.
24'
Nash B.

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Caernarfon and Levadia finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Caernarfon
44%
Draws
20%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caernarfon Levadia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.4 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Levadia vs Caernarfon
5:0
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Caernarfon vs Levadia
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caernarfon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Peetson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caernarfon 34 / 100
Levadia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caernarfon Levadia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Caernarfon found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Levadia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Caernarfon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caernarfon VS Levadia
1.4 Goals Scored 3.5
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.63
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 88%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
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Derry City-
Lugano-
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Dukagjini-
FCSB-
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FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
Debrecen-
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Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
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Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
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Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
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Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
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Sion-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
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Hibernian-
Paks-
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Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
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Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
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Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
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Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
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Koper-
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UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
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FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
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Glentoran1
RFS4
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Decic1
FK Liepaja3
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Austria Vienna-
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Dila Gori3
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Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
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Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
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Sileks1
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Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
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Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
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FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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