Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Penybont in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penybont.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caernarfon have won more games recently than Penybont.
- Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caernarfon Compare
Penybont Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caernarfon found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Caernarfon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Penybont has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)Penybont
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 8 | Llandudno FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford Town | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12:36 | 2 |
