Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Penybont
Wales
Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon 
AI Match Summary
Caernarfon host Penybont in the Cymru Premier. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Penybont have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Caernarfon have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Caernarfon have won 2 to Penybont's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Caernarfon to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caernarfon have won more games recently than Penybont.
- Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caernarfon found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Penybont's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Caernarfon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)Penybont
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Haverfordwest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | TNS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Flint Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ammanford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Barry Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Holywell Town FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Penybont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
