Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 game between Caernarfon and Rhayader finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Rhayader on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Caernarfon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | Rhayader |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 2.46 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 3.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caernarfon found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).
Rhayader let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Caernarfon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)Rhayader
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llandudno FC | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 96:27 | 71 |
| 2 | Caernarfon | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 82:25 | 66 |
| 3 | Guilsfield | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 68:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Buckley | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 69:47 | 52 |
| 5 | Holyhead | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 49:38 | 51 |
| 6 | Porthmadog | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 63:35 | 50 |
| 7 | Denbigh | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 54:51 | 48 |
| 8 | Caersws FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 61:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Mold Alexandra | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 58:49 | 44 |
| 10 | Flint Town | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 11 | Conwy Borough | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 52:46 | 41 |
| 12 | Rhayader | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 42:53 | 30 |
| 13 | Llanidloes Town | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 55:78 | 29 |
| 14 | Penycae FC | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 46:78 | 22 |
| 15 | Llandrindod | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 32:103 | 18 |
| 16 | Rhydymwyn | 30 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 21:132 | 3 |