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Caernarfon vs Rhayader - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 The Oval, Caernarfon
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AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 game between Caernarfon and Rhayader finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Caernarfon
20%
Draws
22%
Rhayader
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caernarfon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Rhayader on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Caernarfon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 16%
Rhayader Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caernarfon Rhayader
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 2.46 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.31 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Caernarfon
0:2
Nov 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Rhayader
7:1
Apr 4, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Caernarfon
0:2
Oct 18, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Rhayader
3:0
Dec 7, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Caernarfon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caernarfon 84 / 100
Rhayader 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caernarfon Rhayader

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caernarfon found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Rhayader let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Caernarfon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caernarfon VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caernarfon

(Home)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 7

Rhayader

(Away)
20 Sept
Rhayader
1 : 4
Cefn Cribwr
07 Oct
Cwmamman United
3 : 1
Rhayader
05 Nov
Rhayader
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
04 Oct
Rhayader
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
07 May
Rhayader
0 : 4
Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 22 5 3 96:27 71
2 Caernarfon 30 20 6 4 82:25 66
3 Guilsfield 30 19 6 5 68:33 63
4 Buckley 30 15 7 8 69:47 52
5 Holyhead 30 15 6 9 49:38 51
6 Porthmadog 30 15 5 10 63:35 50
7 Denbigh 30 14 6 10 54:51 48
8 Caersws FC 30 13 8 9 61:47 47
9 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 58:49 44
10 Flint Town 30 13 5 12 39:45 44
11 Conwy Borough 30 12 5 13 52:46 41
12 Rhayader 30 8 6 16 42:53 30
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 5 17 55:78 29
14 Penycae FC 30 6 4 20 46:78 22
15 Llandrindod 30 5 3 22 32:103 18
16 Rhydymwyn 30 1 0 29 21:132 3
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)