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Caersws FC vs Bala

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caersws FC host Bala in the Cymru North. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Caersws FC have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Bala's 1.31 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Caersws FC have won 0 to Bala's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.38) back Caersws FC to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Caersws FC
15%
Draws
42%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caersws FC lately — more wins on the board than Bala.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Caersws FC taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bala here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 17%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Bala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Bala vs Caersws FC
0:0
Jan 30, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Bala vs Caersws FC
2:0
Jan 23, 2010 Cymru Premier
Caersws FC vs Bala
1:3
Sep 5, 2009 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Caersws FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 48 / 100
Bala 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Bala conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caersws FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Bala
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)