Sport Picks
Caersws FC vs Bangor 1876 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FA Cup 2024/2025 
Match Events
49'
49'
Phillips S.
83'
83'
Morris L.
90'
90'
Jones J.
AI Match Summary
Caersws FC in this FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caersws FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bangor 1876 haven't matched Caersws FC's recent run of results.
- Caersws FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Caersws FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bangor 1876, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caersws FC | Bangor 1876 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2025 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Caersws FC
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Caersws FC vs Bangor 1876
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Bangor 1876
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Caersws FC
2:0
Sep 23, 2023 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Bangor 1876
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caersws FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Phillips S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Bangor 1876 Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caersws FC 83 / 100
Bangor 1876 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caersws FC Bangor 1876
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caersws FC's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Bangor 1876 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Caersws FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Caersws FC VS Bangor 1876
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Caersws FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3 Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5 Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3 Bala
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0 Gresford
18 Apr
Caersws FC
6 : 0 Denbigh
Page 1 of 3
Bangor 1876
(Away) 03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Bangor 1876
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6 Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2 Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Bangor 1876
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
08 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 2 Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
