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Caersws FC vs Buckley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Harries A.
81' Event
Marks J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Caersws FC and Buckley finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Caersws FC
35%
Draws
38%
Buckley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buckley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Caersws FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Caersws FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Buckley
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.97 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Buckley
2:0
Apr 13, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Buckley
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Caersws FC
4:3
Mar 25, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Caersws FC
2:4
Oct 12, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Buckley
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Harries A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marks J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Buckley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 30 / 100
Buckley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Buckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Buckley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Caersws FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Buckley
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

Buckley

(Away)
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 11 4 3 4 25:19 15
10 Rhyl 10 2 4 4 18:20 10
11 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
12 Ruthin Town 11 2 3 6 10:21 9
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)