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Caersws FC vs Denbigh

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Jones A.
40' Event
Rowlands T.
45' Event
Hesden R.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Caersws FC and Denbigh finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Caersws FC
15%
Draws
20%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caersws FC come out ahead of Denbigh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caersws FC a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 12%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Denbigh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Denbigh
6:0
Jul 25, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Caersws FC
3:2
Mar 15, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Denbigh
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Caersws FC
2:0
Apr 1, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Denbigh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowlands T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Denbigh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 83 / 100
Denbigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Denbigh has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Caersws FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Denbigh
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
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Denbigh

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)