Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup

Caersws FC

0 - 1

Dolgellau Athletic

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Dolgellau Athletic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Caersws FC

Draws

Dolgellau Athletic

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Caersws FC come out ahead of Dolgellau Athletic on wins alone.
Caersws FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Caersws FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Dolgellau Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Caersws FC Clean Sheet 20%

Dolgellau Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caersws FC	Dolgellau Athletic
Matches Played	30	7
Wins	11	2
Draws	4	0
Losses	15	5
Goals Scored	2.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 FA Cup

Caersws FC vs Dolgellau Athletic

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 85 / 100

Dolgellau Athletic 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caersws FC Dolgellau Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dolgellau Athletic let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Caersws FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Caersws FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Dolgellau Athletic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Dolgellau Athletic

2.13 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)

18 Apr

Caersws FC

6 : 0

Denbigh

13 Apr

Caersws FC

3 : 2

Buckley

11 Apr

Guilsfield

4 : 1

Caersws FC

06 Apr

Caersws FC

1 : 2

Penrhyncoch

03 Apr

Gresford

0 : 2

Caersws FC

Page 1 of 6

Dolgellau Athletic

(Away)

22 Nov

Dolgellau Athletic

0 : 2

Caerau Ely

18 Oct

Caersws FC

0 : 1

Dolgellau Athletic

27 Sept

Dolgellau Athletic

8 : 3

Queens Park

12 Jul

Dolgellau Athletic

1 : 4

Penrhyncoch

19 Oct

Cefn Albion

7 : 1

Dolgellau Athletic

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Porthmadog3

Denbigh2

TBD-

Buckley-

Port Talbot2

Seven Sisters1

Afan Lido3

Evans Williams2

Pwllheli1

Rhyl3

Brickfield Rangers3

NFA1

Llantwit Major2

Baglan Dragons0

Cwmbran Town5

Ynyshir Albions4

Llanelli-

TBD-

Haverfordwest-

Aberystwyth-

TBD-

Barry Town-

Caerphilly1

Caldicot3

Penrhiwceiber Rangers7

Pentwynmawr Ath0

Saltney Town3

Gresford7

Llanrug4

Ruthin Town3

Cardiff Metropolitan University-

TBD-

Taffs Well2

Abertillery Excelsiors1

Mold Alexandra-

TBD-

TNS-

Newtown-

TBD-

Caernarfon-

Llannefydd5

Llanberis FC1

Penrhyncoch2

Sychdyn Utd0

Llwydcoed3

Lliswerry1

Pill-

Treowen-

Pontypridd United-

TBD-

Rhayader1

Cefn Cribwr4

Carmarthen Town-

TBD-

Trethomas Bluebirds-

Llanfair United1

Kinmel Bay2

TBD-

Colwyn Bay-

Goytre Utd2

Ammanford Town1

TBD-

Cambrian United-

Briton Ferry-

TBD-

Penybont-

Bow Street4

Cefn Albion2

TBD-

Flint Town-

Holyhead4

Forden Utd0

TBD-

Airbus UK Broughton FC-

Cwmbach Royal Stars3

Garden Village4

Tredegar Town1

Glynneath Town3

Broughton Utd2

Welshpool1

Berriew FC0

Trearddur Bay3

Newport City-

TBD-

Penygraig Utd3

Cwm Welfare2

Blaenavon Blues4

Canton1

Pontyclun FC4

Tata Steel1

St. Asaph0

Bangor 18766

TBD-

Guilsfield-

Holywell Town FC-

TBD-

Rhostyllen5

Nefyn United2

Dinas Powys3

Afan United1

Cardiff Draconians4

Cwmbran Celtic2

Abercarn United1

Pure Swansea2

TBD-

Trefelin-

Caersws FC6

Hawarden Rangers1

Dolgellau Athletic8

Queens Park3

Penydarren0

Caerau Ely5

Morriston Town1

Clydach0

Llandudno FC-

TBD-

Flint Mountain-

Bala-

TBD-

Connahs Q.-

1/32-finals

Porthmadog1

Buckley0

Port Talbot3

Afan Lido1

Rhyl1

Brickfield Rangers0

Llantwit Major1

Cwmbran Town2

Llanelli3

Haverfordwest0

Aberystwyth0

Barry Town5

Caldicot0

Penrhiwceiber Rangers2

Gresford9

Llanrug0

Cardiff Metropolitan University5

Taffs Well1

Mold Alexandra1

TNS2

Newtown0

Caernarfon3

Llannefydd1

Penrhyncoch2

Llwydcoed2

Treowen5

Pontypridd United3

Cefn Cribwr1

Carmarthen Town5

Trethomas Bluebirds1

Kinmel Bay0

Colwyn Bay5

Goytre Utd0

Cambrian United6

Briton Ferry0

Penybont5

Bow Street0

Flint Town3

Holyhead2

Airbus UK Broughton FC5

Garden Village2

Glynneath Town4

Broughton Utd0

Trearddur Bay6

Newport City3

Penygraig Utd1

Blaenavon Blues4

Pontyclun FC2

Bangor 18762

Guilsfield1

Holywell Town FC3

Rhostyllen2

Dinas Powys1

Cardiff Draconians3

Pure Swansea1

Trefelin6

Caersws FC0

Dolgellau Athletic1

Caerau Ely3

Morriston Town0

Llandudno FC3

Flint Mountain0

Bala0

Connahs Q.3

1/16-finals

Porthmadog3

Port Talbot2

Rhyl3

Cwmbran Town2

Llanelli0

Barry Town6

Penrhiwceiber Rangers0

Gresford3

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

TNS1

Caernarfon4

Penrhyncoch0

Treowen1

Pontypridd United2

Carmarthen Town1

Colwyn Bay3

Cambrian United1

Penybont3

Flint Town1

Airbus UK Broughton FC0

Glynneath Town2

Trearddur Bay5

Newport City3

Blaenavon Blues2

Bangor 18762

Holywell Town FC1

Cardiff Draconians3

Trefelin4

Dolgellau Athletic0

Caerau Ely2

Llandudno FC2

Connahs Q.1

1/8-finals

Porthmadog1

Rhyl2

Barry Town4

Gresford0

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

Caernarfon4

Pontypridd United0

Colwyn Bay3

Penybont0

Flint Town1

Trearddur Bay5

Newport City3

Bangor 18762

Trefelin0

Caerau Ely2

Llandudno FC1

Quarter-finals

Rhyl2

Barry Town1

Caernarfon4

Colwyn Bay1

Flint Town3

Trearddur Bay0

Bangor 18763

Caerau Ely1

Semi-finals

Rhyl1

Caernarfon2

Flint Town5

Bangor 18761

Final

Caernarfon3

Flint Town0