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Caersws FC vs Gresford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Harris C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Caersws FC and Gresford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Caersws FC
20%
Draws
33%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caersws FC come out ahead of Gresford on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caersws FC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Gresford
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Caersws FC
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Caersws FC
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Gresford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gresford let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Caersws FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Gresford
2.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)