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Caersws FC vs Penrhyncoch

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Owen D.
45' Event
Phillips S.
60' Event
Owen D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Caersws FC and Penrhyncoch finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penrhyncoch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Caersws FC
15%
Draws
0%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Caersws FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caersws FC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 20%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.4 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws FC
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
Feb 18, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws FC
4:1
Sep 17, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 85 / 100
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Penrhyncoch conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Away concern: Penrhyncoch has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Penrhyncoch
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)