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Caete vs Paragominas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Caete
20%
Draws
51%
Paragominas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Paragominas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paragominas a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Paragominas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paragominas, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Paragominas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Caete Clean Sheet 15%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caete Paragominas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Paraense A2
Caete vs Paragominas
0:2
May 30, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Caete
2:0
Feb 17, 2022 Paraense
Caete vs Paragominas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caete 27 / 100
Paragominas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caete Paragominas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paragominas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Caete's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Caete has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caete VS Paragominas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caete

(Home)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
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Paragominas

(Away)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Urumajo 4
Santos PA 0
Caete 0
Paragominas 4
Independente 0
Itupiranga 1
Carajas 1
Izabelense 3
Semi-finals
Urumajo 3
Paragominas 2
Itupiranga 1
Izabelense 2
Final
Urumajo 2
Izabelense 1